Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 6.002625 6.848612 7.781997 8.889999 10.171757 11.610658 13.352229
2025-06-01 4.757886 5.827268 7.100991 8.736414 10.789861 13.294905 16.600866
2025-06-08 3.972367 5.122769 6.571922 8.543864 11.176447 14.596590 19.419840
2025-06-15 3.622815 4.877031 6.532704 8.898852 12.226997 16.790935 23.608773
2025-06-22 3.269051 4.563069 6.340334 8.988663 12.884582 18.483078 27.277988
2025-06-29 2.941673 4.237659 6.080337 8.928973 13.289293 19.822032 30.559245
2025-07-06 2.658482 3.939246 5.817718 8.819630 13.583132 20.996948 33.699666
2025-07-13 2.516863 3.832200 5.820180 9.101214 14.494256 23.208086 38.765670
2025-07-20 2.375053 3.707826 5.778684 9.300188 15.281512 25.290772 43.868521
2025-07-27 2.280341 3.646369 5.826149 9.641488 16.331671 27.917078 50.256275
2025-08-03 2.088605 3.408869 5.564163 9.431491 16.402004 28.836882 53.625931
2025-08-10 1.935100 3.220801 5.366002 9.308318 16.605458 30.003927 57.596328
2025-08-17 1.796956 3.049349 5.184664 9.203206 16.841578 31.278227 61.999278
2025-08-24 1.663701 2.875171 4.983303 9.041027 16.951104 32.320079 66.070809
2025-08-31 1.538465 2.704670 4.773387 8.840837 16.961974 33.161533 69.823879
2025-09-07 1.505451 2.697658 4.858373 9.209247 18.133575 36.472569 79.422094
2025-09-14 1.437724 2.620665 4.806200 9.302467 18.752156 38.701386 86.902923
2025-09-21 1.356243 2.511189 4.683055 9.240506 19.037010 40.243245 92.997664
2025-09-28 1.275586 2.397073 4.541594 9.127010 19.197417 41.525180 98.647019
2025-10-05 1.246755 2.381622 4.592376 9.419301 20.277233 45.006540 110.300277
2025-10-12 1.210140 2.347730 4.603018 9.625858 21.185292 48.197152 121.712932
2025-10-19 1.190228 2.345867 4.678423 9.980199 22.471671 52.446804 136.638214
2025-10-26 1.116784 2.228633 4.504758 9.762174 22.382029 53.311663 142.399130